2024-03-29T08:59:18Z
https://nagoya.repo.nii.ac.jp/oai
oai:nagoya.repo.nii.ac.jp:00014347
2023-01-27T04:16:21Z
608:609:610:1390
発展途上国の高齢化と年金制度改革
Aging and Pension Reform in Developing Economies
染矢, 将和
SOMEYA, Masakazu
open access
発展途上国
高齢化
年金制度
パラメーター改革
労働市場
金融市場
ライフサイクル・世代重複型マクロ一般均衡モデル
Developing economies are aging at much faster speed than any current industrialized economies. Its sizable repercussions are foreseeable even at present. However, considering its urgency, developing economies are still inadequately prepared for their aging in many respects including institution building. This paper will pick up pension system as preparation against upcoming aging in developing economies, examine its institutional sustainability and analyze available options for reforms. The paper will first describe the status of aging in developing economies with special focus on East Asian region and then critically summarize widely discussed view-points for analysis, typology of the pension system and those issues which often hamper reform efforts. The latter half of the paper will use Life-cycle/Overlapping Generations type macro general equilibrium model re-calibrated to China's pension system and analyze sustainability of the reform options and their fiscal and macroeconomic consequences. One of the major findings from quantitative analysis is that it is possible to minimize the adverse impact of aging on pension system and macro economy. However, this finding leads to another question which is the conclusion of this paper that is "Would that reform be institutionally and politically feasible?"
名古屋大学大学院国際開発研究科
2012-03-29
jpn
departmental bulletin paper
VoR
https://doi.org/10.18999/forids.42.43
http://hdl.handle.net/2237/16254
https://nagoya.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/14347
10.18999/forids.42.43
2189-9126
1341-3732
国際開発研究フォーラム
Forum of International Development Studies
42
43
61
https://nagoya.repo.nii.ac.jp/record/14347/files/03.pdf
application/pdf
10.3 MB
2018-02-20