@article{oai:nagoya.repo.nii.ac.jp:00024063, author = {野田, 克博 and NODA, Katsuhiro}, issue = {12}, journal = {国際開発研究フォーラム, Forum of International Development Studies}, month = {Mar}, note = {The Japanese economy suffers from low growth rate for a long term after 1991. Furthermore, with a drop of productive population and the number of work force that began in the 1990s, growth rate is anxious about continuously. Most of Japanese physical and social infrastructure is made from assuming future’s growth, and the secure of the growth is a serious politics problem. When economic conditions like the present continue, in the future of the economy of Japan, how becomes it? How should we take the ways to avoid the negative economic growth in future? I simulated it by using Solow-Swan model for a long term. The estimated result was a finding that the negative economic growth could not avoided at the present TFP and the work forces growth rate. As a policy, it is necessary to increase work force to secure the growth rate that Japanese economy is sustainable in the long term. Therefore, we should secure work force by two methods. In other words, it is effective utilization of the advanced age class in the short term and is the acceptance of the immigrant in the long term. By an operation policy of the advanced age class, we could bring back strong economy of Japan and make it an attractive one. Afterword, we will accept immigrants. That scale would be 150,000 immigrant at most in each year.}, pages = {1--19}, title = {新古典派モデルからみる労働力と日本経済の将来}, volume = {47}, year = {2017} }