@article{oai:nagoya.repo.nii.ac.jp:00004688, author = {大坪, 滋 and Otsubo, Shigeru}, journal = {国際開発研究フォーラム, Forum of International Development Studies}, month = {Mar}, note = {The Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) Model is used to analyze the possible impacts of Japan'sFDI in Asia in a multi-country, multi-sector, general equilibrium framework. The majority of existing anti-FDI arguments are either non-economic such as the “nationalist” and “dependence” approaches, or economic but short-term, partial-equilibrium arguments such as the “exporting employment”, and “balance of payments” stories that focus on the flow aspects of FDI. FDI, as a micro phenomenon, should not be blamed for negative macro outcomes such as a worsening trade balance that in principle is a reflection of a country's savings-investment imbalance. By focusing, instead, on the analysis of medium- to long-term general equilibrium impacts (stock impacts) of FDI, this paper tries to capture the growth and welfare impacts of Japan's FDI in Asia. Stock impacts analyzed in this paper are: 1) a capacity and output expansion in the recipient economies in Asia, matched by a reduced capital stock in Japan (stock effects); 2) an increase in productivity through technology transfer and spillover (technology effects); and 3) an increase in domestic investment driven by a higher expected rate of return on investment and larger domestic savings (cofinance effects). Following the existing dichotomy in the theories of FDI-those that assume perfect markets and the others based on imperfect markets-simulations are conducted under both industrial structures. Simulation results replicate the traditional transfer problem in real resources, and show that FDI is a positive-sum game. Larger gains are observed in the existence of scale economies. The results suggest the importance of two-way FDI flows for Japan in order to benefit from this game. The results also suggest that if FDI capital and technology are augmented by local investment (and savings), a possible secondary burden of transfer in real resources can be avoided.}, pages = {1--33}, title = {Computational Analysis of the economic impacts of Japan’s FDI in Asia}, volume = {28}, year = {2005} }