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防災減災に資する公共事業についての統計論的一考察 : 現代の脅威は地震かそれとも水害か?
https://doi.org/10.18999/ecos.70.4.45
https://doi.org/10.18999/ecos.70.4.45f438457c-f34c-4c4b-ba9b-318014bd568a
名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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04_MORISUGI-Masafumi.pdf (3.3 MB)
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Item type | itemtype_ver1(1) | |||||||||
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公開日 | 2023-04-05 | |||||||||
タイトル | ||||||||||
タイトル | 防災減災に資する公共事業についての統計論的一考察 : 現代の脅威は地震かそれとも水害か? | |||||||||
言語 | ja | |||||||||
その他のタイトル | ||||||||||
その他のタイトル | Statistical Study of Public Works Conductive to Disaster Prevention and Mitigation : Which one is more Dangerous, Earthquake or Flood? | |||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
著者 |
森杉, 雅史
× 森杉, 雅史
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アクセス権 | ||||||||||
アクセス権 | open access | |||||||||
アクセス権URI | http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Public work-related expenditures | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Fundamental Plan for National Resilience | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Nankai megathrust earthquake | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Statistical thought experiment | |||||||||
内容記述 | ||||||||||
内容記述 | Recently, public work-related expenditures is large enough to reach nearby 100 billion JPY due to the budget increasing by supplementary one for the Fundamental Plan of National Resilience. Much of them are spent for the major disaster response and preparedness as earthquake or flood. Contrary to fundamental principle the Plan, appropriations to the latter one is larger than the former one in these days as measures to cope with Global Warming issues. With that kind of background, the first purpose of this study is to discuss justification and rationality of such recent financial politics tendency. Specifically, it shows that there is so large different degree of the uncertainty between earthquake and flood when one tries to estimate the investment efficiency to implement the social overhead capital related with each disaster preventing. Taking an example of Nankai megathrust earthquake, one can see easily that there is much difficulty to estimate the expected benefit of disaster preventing with high reliability. On the other hand, the damage reduction effect for the flood and landslide disaster can be evaluated generally in more objective way. These are able to confirm with a few simple statistical thought experiment. | |||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||
出版者 | ||||||||||
言語 | ja | |||||||||
出版者 | 名古屋大学大学院経済学研究科 | |||||||||
出版者 | ||||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
出版者 | Graduate School of Economics Nagoya University | |||||||||
言語 | ||||||||||
言語 | jpn | |||||||||
資源タイプ | ||||||||||
資源タイプresource | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||||||
タイプ | departmental bulletin paper | |||||||||
出版タイプ | ||||||||||
出版タイプ | VoR | |||||||||
出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||||||
ID登録 | ||||||||||
ID登録 | 10.18999/ecos.70.4.45 | |||||||||
ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||||
収録物識別子 | ||||||||||
収録物識別子タイプ | PISSN | |||||||||
収録物識別子 | 0022-9725 | |||||||||
収録物識別子 | ||||||||||
収録物識別子タイプ | EISSN | |||||||||
収録物識別子 | 2434-5741 | |||||||||
書誌情報 |
ja : 経済科学 en : The Economic Science 巻 70, 号 4, p. 45-58, 発行日 2023-03 |