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  1. D100 大学院国際開発研究科
  2. D100b 紀要
  3. 国際開発研究フォーラム
  4. 36

Macroeconomic Policy Analysis of Vietnam: A Macro-Econometric Model Approach

https://doi.org/10.18999/forids.36.193
https://doi.org/10.18999/forids.36.193
657033b9-536c-44d4-a713-266f392a83b5
名前 / ファイル ライセンス アクション
10.pdf 10.pdf (5.7 MB)
Item type 紀要論文 / Departmental Bulletin Paper(1)
公開日 2008-04-23
タイトル
タイトル Macroeconomic Policy Analysis of Vietnam: A Macro-Econometric Model Approach
言語 en
著者 LE, Anh Minh

× LE, Anh Minh

WEKO 87585

en LE, Anh Minh

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アクセス権
アクセス権 open access
アクセス権URI http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
抄録
内容記述 Since 1986, Vietnam has been implementing its transition from centrally planned economy to a market economy and has maintained an opening-up policy. Economic reforms on both demand side and supply side have largely contributed to successes of the economy. Since 1990, the economic development has been impressive, ever if Vietnam was strongly affected by the Asian Financial crisis in 1997-1998. The high economic growth was achieved in a stable macroeconomic situation. Inflation was kept within a controllable range. Undoubtedly, the macroeconomic policies have played an important role in stabilizing the economy in this period. As a consequence of its integration into the world economy and its economic reforms, Vietnam has benefited from inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign trade expansion. Beside benefits from open door economic policy and economic integration, Vietnamese economy would face to more external shocks from its integration process. Joining WTO in 2007 creates both opportunities and challenges to the country and raised the need for suitable and flexible economic policies to sustain the economic development. The objective of this paper is to analyze the impacts of external shocks and short-term macroeconomic policies in Vietnam. These impacts are investigated by employed a macro-econometric model with the assumption of demand determined economy in the short term. Vietnamese economy’s model is constructed based on the data from 1986 to 2003. Some simulations of external shocks from world economy: and fiscal policy., monetary policy and exchange rate policy are analyzed in the model. Increase in world demand as a result of further accession of Vietnamese goods to the world markets brings a lot of benefit to Vietnamese economy. As a heavy import dependent economy, increase in import prices worsens the economy. Inflation rate increases fast while GDP deceases. Monetary policy has slightly impact on the economy while relaxation fiscal policy could help to promote the economic growth with small impact on inflation rate. Devaluation could help to promote growth however it leads to strong increase in inflation rate and worsens the trade balance.
言語 en
内容記述タイプ Abstract
出版者
言語 ja
出版者 名古屋大学大学院国際開発研究科
言語
言語 eng
資源タイプ
資源 http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
タイプ departmental bulletin paper
出版タイプ
出版タイプ VoR
出版タイプResource http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
ID登録
ID登録 10.18999/forids.36.193
ID登録タイプ JaLC
ISSN(print)
収録物識別子タイプ PISSN
収録物識別子 1341-3732
ISSN(Online)
収録物識別子タイプ EISSN
収録物識別子 2189-9126
書誌情報 ja : 国際開発研究フォーラム
en : Forum of International Development Studies

巻 36, p. 193-214, 発行日 2008-03
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